**Strong opening momentum has positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a sharp second-weekend decline.** The Tom Holland-starrer shattered records with a $360 million domestic debut—the biggest ever, topping Avengers: Endgame—driven by record previews, Friday hauls, and broad audience enthusiasm that pushed its four-day domestic total past $407 million. This front-loaded performance, reflected in early legs around 1.13, signals most ticket sales occurred in the first few days amid peak hype. Positive critical reception (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and rapid $1 billion global gross in under a week reinforce the event-film nature, yet typical post-opening drops for superhero blockbusters, combined with the absence of major new catalysts before the next weekend, underpin trader consensus favoring under $180 million. Upcoming chart updates and any early word-of-mouth shifts could still influence final figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 76%
180-190m 12%
210-220m 7%
190-200m 5%
NEW
$10,277 Vol.
NEW
$10,277 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
76%
180-190m
12%
190-200m
5%
200-210m
4%
210-220m
7%
220m+
3%
<180m 76%
180-190m 12%
210-220m 7%
190-200m 5%
NEW
$10,277 Vol.
NEW
$10,277 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
$4,867 Vol.
76%
180-190m
$710 Vol.
12%
190-200m
$710 Vol.
5%
200-210m
$756 Vol.
4%
210-220m
$936 Vol.
7%
220m+
$2,298 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening momentum has positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a sharp second-weekend decline.** The Tom Holland-starrer shattered records with a $360 million domestic debut—the biggest ever, topping Avengers: Endgame—driven by record previews, Friday hauls, and broad audience enthusiasm that pushed its four-day domestic total past $407 million. This front-loaded performance, reflected in early legs around 1.13, signals most ticket sales occurred in the first few days amid peak hype. Positive critical reception (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and rapid $1 billion global gross in under a week reinforce the event-film nature, yet typical post-opening drops for superhero blockbusters, combined with the absence of major new catalysts before the next weekend, underpin trader consensus favoring under $180 million. Upcoming chart updates and any early word-of-mouth shifts could still influence final figures.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$10,277End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening momentum has positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a sharp second-weekend decline.** The Tom Holland-starrer shattered records with a $360 million domestic debut—the biggest ever, topping Avengers: Endgame—driven by record previews, Friday hauls, and broad audience enthusiasm that pushed its four-day domestic total past $407 million. This front-loaded performance, reflected in early legs around 1.13, signals most ticket sales occurred in the first few days amid peak hype. Positive critical reception (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and rapid $1 billion global gross in under a week reinforce the event-film nature, yet typical post-opening drops for superhero blockbusters, combined with the absence of major new catalysts before the next weekend, underpin trader consensus favoring under $180 million. Upcoming chart updates and any early word-of-mouth shifts could still influence final figures.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,277End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong opening momentum has positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a sharp second-weekend decline.** The Tom Holland-starrer shattered records with a $360 million domestic debut—the biggest ever, topping Avengers: Endgame—driven by record previews, Friday hauls, and broad audience enthusiasm that pushed its four-day domestic total past $407 million. This front-loaded performance, reflected in early legs around 1.13, signals most ticket sales occurred in the first few days amid peak hype. Positive critical reception (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and rapid $1 billion global gross in under a week reinforce the event-film nature, yet typical post-opening drops for superhero blockbusters, combined with the absence of major new catalysts before the next weekend, underpin trader consensus favoring under $180 million. Upcoming chart updates and any early word-of-mouth shifts could still influence final figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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