Recent releases have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot shortly after its early September launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models occupying the next positions through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Trader sentiment reflects tight competition among frontier labs, where small edges in real-user Elo ratings, tool use, and price-to-performance ratios can reorder the middle ranks by November. Challengers such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s Qwen models, and Google’s Gemini variants trail but retain upside from ongoing optimizations or cost advantages. With roughly ten weeks until resolution and no dominant third-place consensus, outcomes hinge on whether new model drops or incremental updates from these labs can close the gap on the current leaders before the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMeta 25%
Mistral 25%
Z.ai 16%
OpenAI 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
25%
Mistral
25%
Z.ai
16%
OpenAI
14%
SpaceXAI
14%
Alibaba
14%
MiniMax
14%
Moonshot
14%
Anthropic
14%
ByteDance
14%
14%
Xiaomi
14%
DeepSeek
14%
Poolside
14%
Tencent
14%
Thinky
13%
Meta 25%
Mistral 25%
Z.ai 16%
OpenAI 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
$0 Vol.
25%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
25%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
16%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
14%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
14%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
14%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
14%
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
14%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
14%
$0 Vol.
14%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
14%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
14%
Poolside
$0 Vol.
14%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
14%
Thinky
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot shortly after its early September launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models occupying the next positions through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Trader sentiment reflects tight competition among frontier labs, where small edges in real-user Elo ratings, tool use, and price-to-performance ratios can reorder the middle ranks by November. Challengers such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s Qwen models, and Google’s Gemini variants trail but retain upside from ongoing optimizations or cost advantages. With roughly ten weeks until resolution and no dominant third-place consensus, outcomes hinge on whether new model drops or incremental updates from these labs can close the gap on the current leaders before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot shortly after its early September launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models occupying the next positions through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Trader sentiment reflects tight competition among frontier labs, where small edges in real-user Elo ratings, tool use, and price-to-performance ratios can reorder the middle ranks by November. Challengers such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s Qwen models, and Google’s Gemini variants trail but retain upside from ongoing optimizations or cost advantages. With roughly ten weeks until resolution and no dominant third-place consensus, outcomes hinge on whether new model drops or incremental updates from these labs can close the gap on the current leaders before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases have reshaped Code Arena WebDev standings, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top spot shortly after its early September launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models occupying the next positions through superior agentic performance on multi-step frontend and full-stack tasks. Trader sentiment reflects tight competition among frontier labs, where small edges in real-user Elo ratings, tool use, and price-to-performance ratios can reorder the middle ranks by November. Challengers such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s Qwen models, and Google’s Gemini variants trail but retain upside from ongoing optimizations or cost advantages. With roughly ten weeks until resolution and no dominant third-place consensus, outcomes hinge on whether new model drops or incremental updates from these labs can close the gap on the current leaders before the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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