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Top artist in July?

icon for Top artist in July?

Top artist in July?

Bruno Mars 51%

Justin Bieber 51%

The Weeknd 50%

Kendrick Lamar 50%

Polymarket
NEW

Bruno Mars 51%

Justin Bieber 51%

The Weeknd 50%

Kendrick Lamar 50%

Polymarket
NEW

Bruno Mars

$0 Vol.

51%

Justin Bieber

$0 Vol.

51%

The Weeknd

$0 Vol.

50%

Kendrick Lamar

$0 Vol.

50%

Taylor Swift

$0 Vol.

50%

Drake

$0 Vol.

50%

Billie Eilish

$0 Vol.

50%

Lady Gaga

$0 Vol.

50%

Kanye West

$0 Vol.

50%

Rihanna

$0 Vol.

50%

Ed Sheeran

$0 Vol.

50%

Noah Kahan

$0 Vol.

49%

Bad Bunny

$0 Vol.

49%

Coldplay

$0 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.With no single artist commanding a clear lead in the tightly bunched field, trader consensus around even implied probabilities highlights the highly competitive July landscape on Billboard charts and streaming platforms. Recent Artist 100 movement favoring Olivia Rodrigo and ATEEZ alongside sustained radio dominance from Bruno Mars and consistent presence from Drake and Taylor Swift underscore how weekly updates, airplay gains, and summer promotional pushes can rapidly shift momentum. Historical patterns show mid-year months often reward artists with timely releases or viral tracks, while competition from established names like Kendrick Lamar and emerging contenders keeps outcomes fluid ahead of the next chart lock.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.With no single artist commanding a clear lead in the tightly bunched field, trader consensus around even implied probabilities highlights the highly competitive July landscape on Billboard charts and streaming platforms. Recent Artist 100 movement favoring Olivia Rodrigo and ATEEZ alongside sustained radio dominance from Bruno Mars and consistent presence from Drake and Taylor Swift underscore how weekly updates, airplay gains, and summer promotional pushes can rapidly shift momentum. Historical patterns show mid-year months often reward artists with timely releases or viral tracks, while competition from established names like Kendrick Lamar and emerging contenders keeps outcomes fluid ahead of the next chart lock.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on July 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Top artist in July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bruno Mars" at 51%, followed by "Justin Bieber" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Top artist in July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Top artist in July?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Top artist in July?" is "Bruno Mars" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Bieber" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Top artist in July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.