**Denmark and Greenland have maintained firm opposition to any transfer of sovereignty over the island, repeatedly stating it is non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure.** In January 2026, President Trump linked tariff threats on Denmark and other NATO allies to achieving a "complete and total purchase" of Greenland, but he quickly dropped those tariffs after announcing a vague "framework of a future deal" with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte focused on Arctic security cooperation, expanded U.S. basing rights under the existing 1951 U.S.-Denmark defense agreement, and elements like the Golden Dome missile defense system rather than outright acquisition. Negotiations since then have centered on enhanced military access, joint defense efforts, and resource cooperation among the U.S., Denmark, and Greenland, without advancing toward a purchase treaty. With only days remaining until the June 30 deadline and no reported breakthroughs on sovereignty or a formal sale agreement, traders view a signed deal as highly improbable. Denmark's new government and ongoing diplomatic talks have not altered these red lines. While late diplomatic concessions or a reinterpreted security pact could theoretically shift odds in the final window, the entrenched positions and short timeline underpin the 95.7% implied probability on "No."
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
$44,416 ปริมาณ
$44,416 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$44,416 ปริมาณ
$44,416 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Denmark and Greenland have maintained firm opposition to any transfer of sovereignty over the island, repeatedly stating it is non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure.** In January 2026, President Trump linked tariff threats on Denmark and other NATO allies to achieving a "complete and total purchase" of Greenland, but he quickly dropped those tariffs after announcing a vague "framework of a future deal" with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte focused on Arctic security cooperation, expanded U.S. basing rights under the existing 1951 U.S.-Denmark defense agreement, and elements like the Golden Dome missile defense system rather than outright acquisition.
Negotiations since then have centered on enhanced military access, joint defense efforts, and resource cooperation among the U.S., Denmark, and Greenland, without advancing toward a purchase treaty. With only days remaining until the June 30 deadline and no reported breakthroughs on sovereignty or a formal sale agreement, traders view a signed deal as highly improbable. Denmark's new government and ongoing diplomatic talks have not altered these red lines.
While late diplomatic concessions or a reinterpreted security pact could theoretically shift odds in the final window, the entrenched positions and short timeline underpin the 95.7% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 1, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,416วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Denmark and Greenland have maintained firm opposition to any transfer of sovereignty over the island, repeatedly stating it is non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure.** In January 2026, President Trump linked tariff threats on Denmark and other NATO allies to achieving a "complete and total purchase" of Greenland, but he quickly dropped those tariffs after announcing a vague "framework of a future deal" with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte focused on Arctic security cooperation, expanded U.S. basing rights under the existing 1951 U.S.-Denmark defense agreement, and elements like the Golden Dome missile defense system rather than outright acquisition.
Negotiations since then have centered on enhanced military access, joint defense efforts, and resource cooperation among the U.S., Denmark, and Greenland, without advancing toward a purchase treaty. With only days remaining until the June 30 deadline and no reported breakthroughs on sovereignty or a formal sale agreement, traders view a signed deal as highly improbable. Denmark's new government and ongoing diplomatic talks have not altered these red lines.
While late diplomatic concessions or a reinterpreted security pact could theoretically shift odds in the final window, the entrenched positions and short timeline underpin the 95.7% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,416วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Denmark and Greenland have maintained firm opposition to any transfer of sovereignty over the island, repeatedly stating it is non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure.** In January 2026, President Trump linked tariff threats on Denmark and other NATO allies to achieving a "complete and total purchase" of Greenland, but he quickly dropped those tariffs after announcing a vague "framework of a future deal" with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte focused on Arctic security cooperation, expanded U.S. basing rights under the existing 1951 U.S.-Denmark defense agreement, and elements like the Golden Dome missile defense system rather than outright acquisition. Negotiations since then have centered on enhanced military access, joint defense efforts, and resource cooperation among the U.S., Denmark, and Greenland, without advancing toward a purchase treaty. With only days remaining until the June 30 deadline and no reported breakthroughs on sovereignty or a formal sale agreement, traders view a signed deal as highly improbable. Denmark's new government and ongoing diplomatic talks have not altered these red lines. While late diplomatic concessions or a reinterpreted security pact could theoretically shift odds in the final window, the entrenched positions and short timeline underpin the 95.7% implied probability on "No."
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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