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icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 99.8%

The Whisper Man (2026) <1%

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young <1%

Facing El Chapo <1%

Polymarket

$123,819 Vol.

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 99.8%

The Whisper Man (2026) <1%

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young <1%

Facing El Chapo <1%

Polymarket

$123,819 Vol.

icon for The Whisper Man (2026)

The Whisper Man (2026)

$71,198 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

$380 Vol.

No

icon for Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

$35,379 Vol.

Yes

icon for Facing El Chapo

Facing El Chapo

$14,893 Vol.

No

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$613 Vol.

No

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$1,355 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The market-implied odds show overwhelming trader consensus behind Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look as the top US Netflix movie this week, driven by its role as a major cultural event capitalizing on the franchise's enormous built-in audience and sustained online buzz. The extended look benefits from GTA's history of generating record engagement for trailers and previews across platforms, positioning it to dominate viewership metrics in a week with limited competing theatrical or streaming releases. An upset remains possible if another title posts unexpectedly strong debut numbers through viral word-of-mouth, a surprise critical reception boost, or targeted algorithmic promotion that shifts audience attention before the weekly rankings lock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$123,819
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The market-implied odds show overwhelming trader consensus behind Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look as the top US Netflix movie this week, driven by its role as a major cultural event capitalizing on the franchise's enormous built-in audience and sustained online buzz. The extended look benefits from GTA's history of generating record engagement for trailers and previews across platforms, positioning it to dominate viewership metrics in a week with limited competing theatrical or streaming releases. An upset remains possible if another title posts unexpectedly strong debut numbers through viral word-of-mouth, a surprise critical reception boost, or targeted algorithmic promotion that shifts audience attention before the weekly rankings lock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$123,819
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 100%, followed by "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $123.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Whisper Man (2026)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.