Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening in late July, the second-largest ever behind Avengers: Endgame, immediately positioned it as a frontrunner to challenge Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million all-time North American gross. Strong critical reception for its mature tone and Tom Holland’s performance, combined with robust word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, fueled exceptional legs that saw the film reach $800 million domestically in a record 19 days and $900 million faster than any prior release. Ongoing box-office updates through August and early September confirmed its trajectory past TFA’s 2015 benchmark, with traders closely tracking daily grosses and re-release potential amid its $2.45 billion worldwide haul.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?
$27,810 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
September 13
No
September 15
Yes
September 17
Yes
September 19
Yes
September 21
Yes
$27,810 Vol.
September 13
$13,671 Vol.
No
September 15
$6,017 Vol.
Yes
September 17
$1,196 Vol.
Yes
September 19
$5,149 Vol.
Yes
September 21
$1,776 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening in late July, the second-largest ever behind Avengers: Endgame, immediately positioned it as a frontrunner to challenge Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million all-time North American gross. Strong critical reception for its mature tone and Tom Holland’s performance, combined with robust word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, fueled exceptional legs that saw the film reach $800 million domestically in a record 19 days and $900 million faster than any prior release. Ongoing box-office updates through August and early September confirmed its trajectory past TFA’s 2015 benchmark, with traders closely tracking daily grosses and re-release potential amid its $2.45 billion worldwide haul.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Volume
$27,810End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening in late July, the second-largest ever behind Avengers: Endgame, immediately positioned it as a frontrunner to challenge Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million all-time North American gross. Strong critical reception for its mature tone and Tom Holland’s performance, combined with robust word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, fueled exceptional legs that saw the film reach $800 million domestically in a record 19 days and $900 million faster than any prior release. Ongoing box-office updates through August and early September confirmed its trajectory past TFA’s 2015 benchmark, with traders closely tracking daily grosses and re-release potential amid its $2.45 billion worldwide haul.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volume
$27,810End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening in late July, the second-largest ever behind Avengers: Endgame, immediately positioned it as a frontrunner to challenge Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million all-time North American gross. Strong critical reception for its mature tone and Tom Holland’s performance, combined with robust word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, fueled exceptional legs that saw the film reach $800 million domestically in a record 19 days and $900 million faster than any prior release. Ongoing box-office updates through August and early September confirmed its trajectory past TFA’s 2015 benchmark, with traders closely tracking daily grosses and re-release potential amid its $2.45 billion worldwide haul.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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