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Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$644,227 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$644,227 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$20,263 Vol.

21%

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Pete Buttigieg

$6,655 Vol.

20%

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Steve Bannon

$9,513 Vol.

19%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,306 Vol.

19%

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Mark Kelly

$5,909 Vol.

17%

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Gavin Newsom

$47,737 Vol.

15%

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Ron DeSantis

$1,632 Vol.

15%

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Tucker Carlson

$10,779 Vol.

15%

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Andy Beshear

$4,706 Vol.

15%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,490 Vol.

14%

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Brian Kemp

$1,649 Vol.

14%

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Beto O’Rourke

$5,872 Vol.

14%

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Rand Paul

$14,445 Vol.

14%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$31,396 Vol.

13%

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Josh Hawley

$3,386 Vol.

13%

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Greg Abbott

$1,916 Vol.

12%

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Ted Cruz

$11,813 Vol.

12%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$134 Vol.

12%

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John Fetterman

$4,720 Vol.

12%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

11%

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Marco Rubio

$4,446 Vol.

11%

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Oprah Winfrey

$13,659 Vol.

11%

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Andrew Yang

$8,457 Vol.

11%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,911 Vol.

11%

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Rahm Emanuel

$6,173 Vol.

11%

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J.D. Vance

$17,932 Vol.

11%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$4,310 Vol.

11%

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Jared Polis

$3,436 Vol.

11%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,289 Vol.

11%

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Candace Owens

$302 Vol.

10%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,309 Vol.

10%

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Raphael Warnock

$1,979 Vol.

10%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,159 Vol.

10%

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Byron Donalds

$6,057 Vol.

10%

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Tom Brady

$8,736 Vol.

10%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$13,805 Vol.

10%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$3,073 Vol.

10%

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Don Lemon

$11 Vol.

10%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$4,236 Vol.

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Mark Cuban

$1,505 Vol.

9%

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Liz Cheney

$79 Vol.

9%

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Tim Walz

$4,103 Vol.

9%

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George Clooney

$4,010 Vol.

9%

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Wes Moore

$6,220 Vol.

8%

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John Thune

$2,794 Vol.

8%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,625 Vol.

8%

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Elise Stefanik

$3,436 Vol.

7%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$4,458 Vol.

10%

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Donald Trump

$9,060 Vol.

7%

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Roy Cooper

$3,405 Vol.

7%

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Kim Kardashian

$5,800 Vol.

7%

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Ivanka Trump

$26,943 Vol.

7%

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Katie Britt

$20,465 Vol.

7%

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Cory Booker

$11,382 Vol.

7%

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Erika Kirk

$22,054 Vol.

6%

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Kristi Noem

$19,596 Vol.

6%

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Hunter Biden

$31,232 Vol.

6%

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Bernie Sanders

$2,351 Vol.

6%

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Elon Musk

$7,798 Vol.

6%

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Michelle Obama

$11,549 Vol.

5%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,105 Vol.

5%

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Barack Obama

$6,359 Vol.

4%

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Nikki Haley

$3,035 Vol.

4%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,480 Vol.

4%

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Hillary Clinton

$8,783 Vol.

4%

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Mike Pence

$13,912 Vol.

3%

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Chelsea Clinton

$12,145 Vol.

3%

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Jon Stewart

$485 Vol.

3%

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Phil Murphy

$2,550 Vol.

2%

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LeBron James

$15,028 Vol.

2%

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MrBeast

$24,879 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The shadow campaigns for the 2028 presidential election have accelerated in 2026, with figures such as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Vice President Kamala Harris conducting early-state travel, donor outreach, and policy positioning that often precedes formal announcements. No major candidates have declared bids as of mid-May 2026, consistent with historical patterns where serious contenders typically wait until after the November midterms before entering the race. Developments such as Vance’s Iowa appearances and Rubio’s elevated cabinet profile could prompt earlier moves, while the post-2024 Republican administration dynamics and Democratic efforts to rebuild voter coalitions shape the timeline. Traders monitor these steps because an announcement before 2027 would hinge on factors including midterm results, polling momentum, and personal decisions by eligible officeholders meeting constitutional requirements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$644,227
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The shadow campaigns for the 2028 presidential election have accelerated in 2026, with figures such as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Vice President Kamala Harris conducting early-state travel, donor outreach, and policy positioning that often precedes formal announcements. No major candidates have declared bids as of mid-May 2026, consistent with historical patterns where serious contenders typically wait until after the November midterms before entering the race. Developments such as Vance’s Iowa appearances and Rubio’s elevated cabinet profile could prompt earlier moves, while the post-2024 Republican administration dynamics and Democratic efforts to rebuild voter coalitions shape the timeline. Traders monitor these steps because an announcement before 2027 would hinge on factors including midterm results, polling momentum, and personal decisions by eligible officeholders meeting constitutional requirements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$644,227
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kamala Harris" at 21%, followed by "Pete Buttigieg" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" has generated $644.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is "Kamala Harris" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.