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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ciryl Gane 41%

Tom Aspinall 32%

Josh Hokit 4.0%

Alexander Volkov 2.0%

Polymarket

$332,040 Vol.

Ciryl Gane 41%

Tom Aspinall 32%

Josh Hokit 4.0%

Alexander Volkov 2.0%

Polymarket

$332,040 Vol.

Ciryl Gane

$5,099 Vol.

41%

Tom Aspinall

$6,085 Vol.

32%

Josh Hokit

$439 Vol.

4%

Alexander Volkov

$27,242 Vol.

2%

Sergei Pavlovich

$398 Vol.

1%

Serghei Spivac

$438 Vol.

1%

Derrick Lewis

$9,471 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,566 Vol.

1%

Tyrell Fortune

$258 Vol.

<1%

Jailton Almeida

$391 Vol.

<1%

Rizvan Kuniev

$299 Vol.

<1%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$48,174 Vol.

<1%

Ante Delija

$500 Vol.

<1%

Marcin Tybura

$166,678 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The impending September 2026 unification bout between undisputed champion Tom Aspinall and interim champion Ciryl Gane in Paris drives the tight market split, as the victor would likely retain the belt through year-end with limited additional defenses possible. Gane's recent first-round knockout of Alex Pereira secured his interim status and highlighted his striking edge, while Aspinall's prior no-contest against Gane due to eye pokes leaves their head-to-head unresolved. The division's depth, including rising contenders like Tyrell Fortune and established names such as Alexander Volkov, adds uncertainty around long-term title stability, but the Aspinall-Gane matchup remains the dominant near-term factor shaping trader consensus on end-of-2026 outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$332,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The impending September 2026 unification bout between undisputed champion Tom Aspinall and interim champion Ciryl Gane in Paris drives the tight market split, as the victor would likely retain the belt through year-end with limited additional defenses possible. Gane's recent first-round knockout of Alex Pereira secured his interim status and highlighted his striking edge, while Aspinall's prior no-contest against Gane due to eye pokes leaves their head-to-head unresolved. The division's depth, including rising contenders like Tyrell Fortune and established names such as Alexander Volkov, adds uncertainty around long-term title stability, but the Aspinall-Gane matchup remains the dominant near-term factor shaping trader consensus on end-of-2026 outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$332,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ciryl Gane" at 41%, followed by "Tom Aspinall" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $332K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Ciryl Gane" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Aspinall" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.