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Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ciryl Gane 70%

Josh Hokit 29.6%

Tom Aspinall 1.4%

Alex Pereira <1%

Polymarket

$365,540 Vol.

Ciryl Gane 70%

Josh Hokit 29.6%

Tom Aspinall 1.4%

Alex Pereira <1%

Polymarket

$365,540 Vol.

Ciryl Gane

$19,616 Vol.

70%

Josh Hokit

$4,704 Vol.

30%

Tom Aspinall

$12,788 Vol.

1%

Alex Pereira

$233 Vol.

1%

Alexander Volkov

$31,654 Vol.

1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$2,302 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,920 Vol.

<1%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$48,207 Vol.

<1%

Jailton Almeida

$521 Vol.

<1%

Serghei Spivac

$601 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Lewis

$9,592 Vol.

<1%

Ante Delija

$584 Vol.

<1%

Marcin Tybura

$166,985 Vol.

<1%

Rizvan Kuniev

$439 Vol.

<1%

Tyrell Fortune

$395 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ciryl Gane holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title after Tom Aspinall vacated due to lingering eye injuries from their October 2025 no-contest, elevating Gane from his interim championship earned via a June 2026 TKO of Alex Pereira. Traders price Gane at 69.5% to remain champion through year-end because he enters UFC 334 on November 14 as a clear favorite against undefeated prospect Josh Hokit. Hokit’s 29.6% reflects his rapid rise, including recent wins over Derrick Lewis and Curtis Blaydes, plus the volatility of a title shot for a 10-0 fighter. Lower probabilities for Aspinall, Pereira, Alexander Volkov, and Sergei Pavlovich stem from inactivity, recent losses, or distance from the immediate title picture in a division where one defense can reset the landscape.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$365,540
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ciryl Gane holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title after Tom Aspinall vacated due to lingering eye injuries from their October 2025 no-contest, elevating Gane from his interim championship earned via a June 2026 TKO of Alex Pereira. Traders price Gane at 69.5% to remain champion through year-end because he enters UFC 334 on November 14 as a clear favorite against undefeated prospect Josh Hokit. Hokit’s 29.6% reflects his rapid rise, including recent wins over Derrick Lewis and Curtis Blaydes, plus the volatility of a title shot for a 10-0 fighter. Lower probabilities for Aspinall, Pereira, Alexander Volkov, and Sergei Pavlovich stem from inactivity, recent losses, or distance from the immediate title picture in a division where one defense can reset the landscape.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$365,540
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ciryl Gane" at 70%, followed by "Josh Hokit" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $365.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Ciryl Gane" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Hokit" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.