**State attorneys general lawsuits and a court-stipulated pause have pushed any potential close well beyond 2026, driving the market's 73.9% "No" probability.** In July 2026, twelve states filed antitrust claims alleging the Paramount Skydance–Warner Bros. Discovery combination would harm competition in theatrical distribution, cable, and streaming. The parties then agreed not to consummate the deal before June 1, 2027, or shortly after a merits ruling, with a trial now scheduled for March 2027. While the DOJ approved the transaction in June and the FCC cleared foreign-ownership stakes in mid-September, these milestones do not override the binding litigation hold. Traders see limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate resolution or lift the injunction before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated23% chance
$152,306 Vol.
$152,306 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
23% chance
$152,306 Vol.
$152,306 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**State attorneys general lawsuits and a court-stipulated pause have pushed any potential close well beyond 2026, driving the market's 73.9% "No" probability.**
In July 2026, twelve states filed antitrust claims alleging the Paramount Skydance–Warner Bros. Discovery combination would harm competition in theatrical distribution, cable, and streaming. The parties then agreed not to consummate the deal before June 1, 2027, or shortly after a merits ruling, with a trial now scheduled for March 2027. While the DOJ approved the transaction in June and the FCC cleared foreign-ownership stakes in mid-September, these milestones do not override the binding litigation hold. Traders see limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate resolution or lift the injunction before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$152,306End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**State attorneys general lawsuits and a court-stipulated pause have pushed any potential close well beyond 2026, driving the market's 73.9% "No" probability.**
In July 2026, twelve states filed antitrust claims alleging the Paramount Skydance–Warner Bros. Discovery combination would harm competition in theatrical distribution, cable, and streaming. The parties then agreed not to consummate the deal before June 1, 2027, or shortly after a merits ruling, with a trial now scheduled for March 2027. While the DOJ approved the transaction in June and the FCC cleared foreign-ownership stakes in mid-September, these milestones do not override the binding litigation hold. Traders see limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate resolution or lift the injunction before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$152,306End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**State attorneys general lawsuits and a court-stipulated pause have pushed any potential close well beyond 2026, driving the market's 73.9% "No" probability.** In July 2026, twelve states filed antitrust claims alleging the Paramount Skydance–Warner Bros. Discovery combination would harm competition in theatrical distribution, cable, and streaming. The parties then agreed not to consummate the deal before June 1, 2027, or shortly after a merits ruling, with a trial now scheduled for March 2027. While the DOJ approved the transaction in June and the FCC cleared foreign-ownership stakes in mid-September, these milestones do not override the binding litigation hold. Traders see limited near-term catalysts that could accelerate resolution or lift the injunction before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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