SpaceX’s post-IPO share price faces immediate pressure heading into the week of August 10 from the August 4 earnings release and the early-August lockup expiration unlocking roughly $123 billion in shares. Revenue rose 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion, yet heavy capital spending and ongoing losses prompted a negative reaction, leaving SPCX near $119–125, well below the $135 IPO and mid-June peak above $225. Traders are monitoring whether the unprecedented supply increase will trigger further profit-taking or stabilize around current levels supported by Starlink growth and AI-related optionality. Upcoming catalysts include potential follow-through volume and any analyst revisions tied to the earnings details.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $150
50%
↑ $147.50
50%
↑ $145
50%
↑ $142.50
50%
↑ $140
50%
↑ $137.50
50%
↑ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
50%
↓ $130
50%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
50%
↓ $122.50
50%
↓ $120
50%
↓ $117.50
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $150
50%
↑ $147.50
50%
↑ $145
50%
↑ $142.50
50%
↑ $140
50%
↑ $137.50
50%
↑ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
50%
↓ $130
50%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
50%
↓ $122.50
50%
↓ $120
50%
↓ $117.50
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s post-IPO share price faces immediate pressure heading into the week of August 10 from the August 4 earnings release and the early-August lockup expiration unlocking roughly $123 billion in shares. Revenue rose 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion, yet heavy capital spending and ongoing losses prompted a negative reaction, leaving SPCX near $119–125, well below the $135 IPO and mid-June peak above $225. Traders are monitoring whether the unprecedented supply increase will trigger further profit-taking or stabilize around current levels supported by Starlink growth and AI-related optionality. Upcoming catalysts include potential follow-through volume and any analyst revisions tied to the earnings details.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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