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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

icon for World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

$1,213,143 Vol.

Jul 13, 2026
Polymarket

$1,213,143 Vol.

Polymarket

Egypt

$3,668 Vol.

4%

Canada

$17,227 Vol.

3%

Morocco

$39,228 Vol.

10%

Norway

$49,849 Vol.

16%

Colombia

$35,200 Vol.

18%

Japan

$79,346 Vol.

7%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$28,849 Vol.

2%

Brazil

$32,469 Vol.

31%

Australia

$17,361 Vol.

3%

Paraguay

$6,575 Vol.

1%

Netherlands

$26,231 Vol.

22%

Ecuador

$15,596 Vol.

5%

Ghana

$4,588 Vol.

3%

Belgium

$6,216 Vol.

10%

France

$72,952 Vol.

52%

Argentina

$159,372 Vol.

61%

Austria

$11,937 Vol.

2%

Croatia

$19,202 Vol.

4%

DR Congo

$5,094 Vol.

2%

Germany

$15,809 Vol.

17%

Algeria

$3,358 Vol.

3%

Portugal

$43,732 Vol.

23%

Mexico

$57,973 Vol.

14%

Switzerland

$18,410 Vol.

8%

Sweden

$13,151 Vol.

2%

Spain

$61,632 Vol.

45%

Ivory Coast

$19,338 Vol.

4%

USA

$96,677 Vol.

19%

Cape Verde

$9,585 Vol.

2%

Senegal

$11,764 Vol.

4%

South Africa

$2,037 Vol.

1%

England

$54,200 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,213,143
End Date
Jul 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,213,143
End Date
Jul 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Argentina" at 61%, followed by "France" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals" is "Argentina" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.