Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate of +0.2% MoM, following May's +0.3% print, anchors the 67.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% outcome. Statistics Canada highlighted gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—supported by a 0.6% rise in mining and oil-and-gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—partially offset by weakness in utilities and agriculture. This flash figure implies 0.8% Q2 expansion (annualized near 3.4%), exceeding the Bank of Canada's July baseline and marking a rebound from Q1 weakness. Trader consensus prices residual downside risk at 18.5% for 0.0-0.1%, reflecting lingering trade and inflation uncertainties ahead of the official August 28 release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,2-0,3 % 68%
0,0-0,1 % 16%
0,4-0,5 % 13.9%
<0,0 % 3.6%
$17,122 Vol.
$17,122 Vol.
28 août 2026
<0,0 %
4%
0,0-0,1 %
16%
0,2-0,3 %
68%
0,4-0,5 %
10%
0,6-0,7 %
<1%
0,8 %+
<1%
0,2-0,3 % 68%
0,0-0,1 % 16%
0,4-0,5 % 13.9%
<0,0 % 3.6%
$17,122 Vol.
$17,122 Vol.
28 août 2026
<0,0 %
$999 Vol.
4%
0,0-0,1 %
$4,551 Vol.
16%
0,2-0,3 %
$8,526 Vol.
68%
0,4-0,5 %
$1,508 Vol.
10%
0,6-0,7 %
$831 Vol.
<1%
0,8 %+
$708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate of +0.2% MoM, following May's +0.3% print, anchors the 67.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% outcome. Statistics Canada highlighted gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—supported by a 0.6% rise in mining and oil-and-gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—partially offset by weakness in utilities and agriculture. This flash figure implies 0.8% Q2 expansion (annualized near 3.4%), exceeding the Bank of Canada's July baseline and marking a rebound from Q1 weakness. Trader consensus prices residual downside risk at 18.5% for 0.0-0.1%, reflecting lingering trade and inflation uncertainties ahead of the official August 28 release.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$17,122Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate of +0.2% MoM, following May's +0.3% print, anchors the 67.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% outcome. Statistics Canada highlighted gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—supported by a 0.6% rise in mining and oil-and-gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—partially offset by weakness in utilities and agriculture. This flash figure implies 0.8% Q2 expansion (annualized near 3.4%), exceeding the Bank of Canada's July baseline and marking a rebound from Q1 weakness. Trader consensus prices residual downside risk at 18.5% for 0.0-0.1%, reflecting lingering trade and inflation uncertainties ahead of the official August 28 release.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$17,122Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate of +0.2% MoM, following May's +0.3% print, anchors the 67.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% outcome. Statistics Canada highlighted gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—supported by a 0.6% rise in mining and oil-and-gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—partially offset by weakness in utilities and agriculture. This flash figure implies 0.8% Q2 expansion (annualized near 3.4%), exceeding the Bank of Canada's July baseline and marking a rebound from Q1 weakness. Trader consensus prices residual downside risk at 18.5% for 0.0-0.1%, reflecting lingering trade and inflation uncertainties ahead of the official August 28 release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
L'inflation du Canada en 2026 sera-t-elle comprise entre 2,5 % et 2,9 % ?
40%
Oui
La croissance annuelle du PIB de la Chine en 2026 (A/A) sera-t-elle comprise entre 4,0 % et 5,0 % ?
89%
Oui
Le taux de croissance du PIB du Brésil au deuxième trimestre 2026 (T/T) sera-t-il compris entre 0,3 % et 0,5 % ?
53%
Oui
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