Recent Democratic convention results have positioned former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin with a modest lead in the CT-01 Democratic primary, after he secured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent U.S. Rep. John Larson by a 10-vote margin on the second ballot. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the August 11 primary ballot, while lesser-known challengers trail. The tight trader consensus reflects the upset nature of the convention outcome in a historically Democratic district, tempered by Larson's long record and established support among party delegates and voters. Key factors that could widen the gap include shifts in union backing, fundraising momentum, or turnout among core constituencies ahead of the primary vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJohn Larson 22%
Jillian Gilchrest 4.4%
Ruth Fortune 4.2%
Mark Stewart Greenstein <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
John Larson
36%
Jillian Gilchrest
4%
Ruth Fortune
4%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
1%
Luke Bronin
39%
John Larson 22%
Jillian Gilchrest 4.4%
Ruth Fortune 4.2%
Mark Stewart Greenstein <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
John Larson
$766 Vol.
36%
Jillian Gilchrest
$2,014 Vol.
4%
Ruth Fortune
$907 Vol.
4%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
$1,631 Vol.
1%
Luke Bronin
$4,008 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent Democratic convention results have positioned former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin with a modest lead in the CT-01 Democratic primary, after he secured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent U.S. Rep. John Larson by a 10-vote margin on the second ballot. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the August 11 primary ballot, while lesser-known challengers trail. The tight trader consensus reflects the upset nature of the convention outcome in a historically Democratic district, tempered by Larson's long record and established support among party delegates and voters. Key factors that could widen the gap include shifts in union backing, fundraising momentum, or turnout among core constituencies ahead of the primary vote.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$9,326Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent Democratic convention results have positioned former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin with a modest lead in the CT-01 Democratic primary, after he secured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent U.S. Rep. John Larson by a 10-vote margin on the second ballot. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the August 11 primary ballot, while lesser-known challengers trail. The tight trader consensus reflects the upset nature of the convention outcome in a historically Democratic district, tempered by Larson's long record and established support among party delegates and voters. Key factors that could widen the gap include shifts in union backing, fundraising momentum, or turnout among core constituencies ahead of the primary vote.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,326Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Democratic convention results have positioned former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin with a modest lead in the CT-01 Democratic primary, after he secured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent U.S. Rep. John Larson by a 10-vote margin on the second ballot. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the August 11 primary ballot, while lesser-known challengers trail. The tight trader consensus reflects the upset nature of the convention outcome in a historically Democratic district, tempered by Larson's long record and established support among party delegates and voters. Key factors that could widen the gap include shifts in union backing, fundraising momentum, or turnout among core constituencies ahead of the primary vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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