Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, with no public prospectus, roadshow, or pricing updates amid a compressed timeline of just six weeks remaining. Secondary market valuations have halved to around $7-10 billion—implied by share prices near $32-34—down from the $15 billion 2021 funding peak, driven by lagging monetization relative to 200 million monthly active users and heavy reliance on gaming/consumer revenue versus enterprise SaaS comps like Slack's $27 billion acquisition. Lower-cap outcomes like under $15 billion carry 15% odds if listing occurs, while bins above $20 billion reflect deep skepticism on multiple expansion absent proven B2B traction; watch for any S-1 emergence as the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 76%
<15Mds$ 15.2%
25–30 milliards 8.4%
15–20 Md$ 4.5%
$888,972 Vol.
$888,972 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<15Mds$
15%
15–20 Md$
4%
20–25 Md$
1%
25–30 milliards
8%
30B+
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
76%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 76%
<15Mds$ 15.2%
25–30 milliards 8.4%
15–20 Md$ 4.5%
$888,972 Vol.
$888,972 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<15Mds$
$298,387 Vol.
15%
15–20 Md$
$109,415 Vol.
4%
20–25 Md$
$74,403 Vol.
1%
25–30 milliards
$112,987 Vol.
8%
30B+
$100,260 Vol.
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$193,520 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, with no public prospectus, roadshow, or pricing updates amid a compressed timeline of just six weeks remaining. Secondary market valuations have halved to around $7-10 billion—implied by share prices near $32-34—down from the $15 billion 2021 funding peak, driven by lagging monetization relative to 200 million monthly active users and heavy reliance on gaming/consumer revenue versus enterprise SaaS comps like Slack's $27 billion acquisition. Lower-cap outcomes like under $15 billion carry 15% odds if listing occurs, while bins above $20 billion reflect deep skepticism on multiple expansion absent proven B2B traction; watch for any S-1 emergence as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$888,972Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, with no public prospectus, roadshow, or pricing updates amid a compressed timeline of just six weeks remaining. Secondary market valuations have halved to around $7-10 billion—implied by share prices near $32-34—down from the $15 billion 2021 funding peak, driven by lagging monetization relative to 200 million monthly active users and heavy reliance on gaming/consumer revenue versus enterprise SaaS comps like Slack's $27 billion acquisition. Lower-cap outcomes like under $15 billion carry 15% odds if listing occurs, while bins above $20 billion reflect deep skepticism on multiple expansion absent proven B2B traction; watch for any S-1 emergence as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$888,972Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, with no public prospectus, roadshow, or pricing updates amid a compressed timeline of just six weeks remaining. Secondary market valuations have halved to around $7-10 billion—implied by share prices near $32-34—down from the $15 billion 2021 funding peak, driven by lagging monetization relative to 200 million monthly active users and heavy reliance on gaming/consumer revenue versus enterprise SaaS comps like Slack's $27 billion acquisition. Lower-cap outcomes like under $15 billion carry 15% odds if listing occurs, while bins above $20 billion reflect deep skepticism on multiple expansion absent proven B2B traction; watch for any S-1 emergence as the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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