Recent inflation data and a divided Federal Open Market Committee have shifted trader focus from rate cuts toward the possibility of hikes or prolonged holds in the federal funds rate, currently steady at 3.50%-3.75% since December 2025. The July 29 decision passed 9-3, with three officials dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point increase amid elevated energy prices and sticky PCE readings. CME FedWatch futures now price in a higher likelihood of year-end hikes than cuts, contrasting earlier 2026 expectations for easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16-17 FOMC meeting, August CPI and employment reports, and any revisions to the dot plot that could clarify the path for monetary policy through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFed Announces Emergency Rate Cut to 0% - Markets Crash 50%
The Federal Reserve has announced an emergency rate cut to 0%. All prediction markets are being resolved immediately. Withdraw your funds at polymarket-emergency.com before resolution.
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