Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 25 following a polar air outbreak that suppressed temperatures in preceding days. Trader sentiment favoring 15°C or 14°C reflects expectations of gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, which can enhance solar heating compared to clearer or windier conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; even small increases in insolation or reduced mixing could push the observed maximum into the upper range of probabilities while colder advection would cap it lower. Official observations and updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 25 août ?
15°C 42%
14°C 33%
16°C 14%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
33%
15°C
42%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 42%
14°C 33%
16°C 14%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
33%
15°C
42%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on August 25 following a polar air outbreak that suppressed temperatures in preceding days. Trader sentiment favoring 15°C or 14°C reflects expectations of gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, which can enhance solar heating compared to clearer or windier conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; even small increases in insolation or reduced mixing could push the observed maximum into the upper range of probabilities while colder advection would cap it lower. Official observations and updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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