Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 10 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 10 août ?
26°C ou plus 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 Vol.
$6,684 Vol.
10 août 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Oui
26°C ou plus 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 Vol.
$6,684 Vol.
10 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$255 Vol.
Non
17°C
$250 Vol.
Non
18°C
$255 Vol.
Non
19°C
$515 Vol.
Non
20°C
$781 Vol.
Non
21°C
$786 Vol.
Non
22°C
$755 Vol.
Non
23°C
$740 Vol.
Non
24°C
$412 Vol.
Non
25°C
$772 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$1,162 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,684Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,684Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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