Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Manila on August 12 at exactly 30°C because official PAGASA forecasts and real-time observations consistently project this value amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. This pattern delivers cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall—conditions typical for the region's August climatology. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in these verified meteorological factors rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 30°C would require unexpected model revisions, such as a sudden monsoon break producing clearer skies and stronger insolation that pushes readings above 31°C, or unusually intense localized downpours suppressing the high below the threshold; however, current agency guidance shows low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 12 août ?
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$34,234 Vol.
$34,234 Vol.
12 août 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$34,234 Vol.
$34,234 Vol.
12 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$445 Vol.
Non
25°C
$581 Vol.
Non
26°C
$333 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,076 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,303 Vol.
Non
29°C
$4,666 Vol.
Non
30°C
$6,024 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$9,736 Vol.
Non
32°C
$5,219 Vol.
Non
33°C
$3,698 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$1,153 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Manila on August 12 at exactly 30°C because official PAGASA forecasts and real-time observations consistently project this value amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. This pattern delivers cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall—conditions typical for the region's August climatology. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in these verified meteorological factors rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 30°C would require unexpected model revisions, such as a sudden monsoon break producing clearer skies and stronger insolation that pushes readings above 31°C, or unusually intense localized downpours suppressing the high below the threshold; however, current agency guidance shows low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$34,234Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Manila on August 12 at exactly 30°C because official PAGASA forecasts and real-time observations consistently project this value amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. This pattern delivers cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall—conditions typical for the region's August climatology. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in these verified meteorological factors rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 30°C would require unexpected model revisions, such as a sudden monsoon break producing clearer skies and stronger insolation that pushes readings above 31°C, or unusually intense localized downpours suppressing the high below the threshold; however, current agency guidance shows low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,234Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Manila on August 12 at exactly 30°C because official PAGASA forecasts and real-time observations consistently project this value amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. This pattern delivers cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall—conditions typical for the region's August climatology. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in these verified meteorological factors rather than speculation. A realistic shift away from 30°C would require unexpected model revisions, such as a sudden monsoon break producing clearer skies and stronger insolation that pushes readings above 31°C, or unusually intense localized downpours suppressing the high below the threshold; however, current agency guidance shows low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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