Recent forecast runs from Météo France and global models show Paris highs centered on 28–30 °C for 6 September, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited moisture limiting further warming. Trader consensus reflected in the 35.5 % implied probability for 29 °C, 31 % for 28 °C, and 23.5 % for 30 °C tracks this tight cluster and the modest spread across ensemble members. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern—warm advection ahead of an approaching front—supports the elevated readings without pushing into the low-probability 31 °C+ tail. Final Météo France guidance and official station data tomorrow will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 6 septembre ?
29°C 39%
28°C 29%
30°C 24%
31°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$19,197 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,197 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
29%
29°C
39%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 29%
30°C 24%
31°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$19,197 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,197 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$219 Vol.
2%
27°C
$497 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,512 Vol.
29%
29°C
$572 Vol.
39%
30°C
$1,794 Vol.
24%
31°C
$1,434 Vol.
6%
32°C
$248 Vol.
3%
33°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$424 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$854 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$11,563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from Météo France and global models show Paris highs centered on 28–30 °C for 6 September, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited moisture limiting further warming. Trader consensus reflected in the 35.5 % implied probability for 29 °C, 31 % for 28 °C, and 23.5 % for 30 °C tracks this tight cluster and the modest spread across ensemble members. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern—warm advection ahead of an approaching front—supports the elevated readings without pushing into the low-probability 31 °C+ tail. Final Météo France guidance and official station data tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$19,197Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from Météo France and global models show Paris highs centered on 28–30 °C for 6 September, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited moisture limiting further warming. Trader consensus reflected in the 35.5 % implied probability for 29 °C, 31 % for 28 °C, and 23.5 % for 30 °C tracks this tight cluster and the modest spread across ensemble members. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern—warm advection ahead of an approaching front—supports the elevated readings without pushing into the low-probability 31 °C+ tail. Final Météo France guidance and official station data tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,197Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from Météo France and global models show Paris highs centered on 28–30 °C for 6 September, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited moisture limiting further warming. Trader consensus reflected in the 35.5 % implied probability for 29 °C, 31 % for 28 °C, and 23.5 % for 30 °C tracks this tight cluster and the modest spread across ensemble members. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern—warm advection ahead of an approaching front—supports the elevated readings without pushing into the low-probability 31 °C+ tail. Final Météo France guidance and official station data tomorrow will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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