**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 14–16°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities around 13°C (45.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light easterly or northeasterly winds and high pressure, favor moderate radiative cooling without a strong cold air mass. This setup aligns with early September climatology for the region (typical overnight lows near 13–15°C) while current short-range guidance shows slightly milder conditions than seasonal norms due to the absence of significant frontal passages. Model consensus points to lows near 15°C in several runs, with some spread allowing for 13–17°C outcomes depending on cloud cover and wind details. Traders appear to weigh this against historical variability and the narrow resolution windows for exact daily minima reported by official stations. Upcoming model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns could adjust these odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 6 septembre ?
10°C ou moins 47%
20°C ou plus 45%
11°C 43%
13°C 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
47%
11°C
43%
12°C
16%
13°C
37%
14°C
21%
15°C
34%
16°C
28%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
4%
20°C ou plus
45%
10°C ou moins 47%
20°C ou plus 45%
11°C 43%
13°C 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
47%
11°C
$0 Vol.
43%
12°C
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$83 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 14–16°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities around 13°C (45.5%).**
Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light easterly or northeasterly winds and high pressure, favor moderate radiative cooling without a strong cold air mass. This setup aligns with early September climatology for the region (typical overnight lows near 13–15°C) while current short-range guidance shows slightly milder conditions than seasonal norms due to the absence of significant frontal passages.
Model consensus points to lows near 15°C in several runs, with some spread allowing for 13–17°C outcomes depending on cloud cover and wind details. Traders appear to weigh this against historical variability and the narrow resolution windows for exact daily minima reported by official stations. Upcoming model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$88Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 14–16°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities around 13°C (45.5%).**
Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light easterly or northeasterly winds and high pressure, favor moderate radiative cooling without a strong cold air mass. This setup aligns with early September climatology for the region (typical overnight lows near 13–15°C) while current short-range guidance shows slightly milder conditions than seasonal norms due to the absence of significant frontal passages.
Model consensus points to lows near 15°C in several runs, with some spread allowing for 13–17°C outcomes depending on cloud cover and wind details. Traders appear to weigh this against historical variability and the narrow resolution windows for exact daily minima reported by official stations. Upcoming model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 14–16°C range, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities around 13°C (45.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light easterly or northeasterly winds and high pressure, favor moderate radiative cooling without a strong cold air mass. This setup aligns with early September climatology for the region (typical overnight lows near 13–15°C) while current short-range guidance shows slightly milder conditions than seasonal norms due to the absence of significant frontal passages. Model consensus points to lows near 15°C in several runs, with some spread allowing for 13–17°C outcomes depending on cloud cover and wind details. Traders appear to weigh this against historical variability and the narrow resolution windows for exact daily minima reported by official stations. Upcoming model updates and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns could adjust these odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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