Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 4 septembre ?
19°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$5,906 Vol.
$5,906 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$5,906 Vol.
$5,906 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$44 Vol.
Non
15°C
$12 Vol.
Non
16°C
$22 Vol.
Non
17°C
$222 Vol.
Non
18°C
$355 Vol.
Non
19°C
$4,275 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$842 Vol.
Non
21°C
$20 Vol.
Non
22°C
$45 Vol.
Non
23°C
$35 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$35 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,906Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,906Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Paris on September 4, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions under variable high clouds, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting limited radiative cooling after a daytime high around 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer readings. Trader consensus at 93% for 19°C reflects high model agreement and the absence of cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that could drop readings to 16°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering flow or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still push the low lower before dawn, though such revisions appear unlikely given stable pressure fields.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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