Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating daytime heating and producing a most probable maximum near 28–29°C under typical subtropical spring humidity. This scientific setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 29°C at 37% leading 28°C at 27.5% while 27°C and 30°C each hold 14.5%, reflecting genuine uncertainty from minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide climatological context, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes due to suppressed solar input. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could resolve the 1°C spread before official station data finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 18 mai ?
29°C 35%
28°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
15%
28°C
28%
29°C
35%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
28°C 28%
30°C 15%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
$592 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$806 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$826 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,390 Vol.
15%
28°C
$574 Vol.
28%
29°C
$715 Vol.
35%
30°C
$737 Vol.
15%
31°C
$474 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$629 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating daytime heating and producing a most probable maximum near 28–29°C under typical subtropical spring humidity. This scientific setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 29°C at 37% leading 28°C at 27.5% while 27°C and 30°C each hold 14.5%, reflecting genuine uncertainty from minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide climatological context, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes due to suppressed solar input. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could resolve the 1°C spread before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$8,336Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating daytime heating and producing a most probable maximum near 28–29°C under typical subtropical spring humidity. This scientific setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 29°C at 37% leading 28°C at 27.5% while 27°C and 30°C each hold 14.5%, reflecting genuine uncertainty from minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide climatological context, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes due to suppressed solar input. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could resolve the 1°C spread before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,336Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating daytime heating and producing a most probable maximum near 28–29°C under typical subtropical spring humidity. This scientific setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds, with 29°C at 37% leading 28°C at 27.5% while 27°C and 30°C each hold 14.5%, reflecting genuine uncertainty from minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide climatological context, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes due to suppressed solar input. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could resolve the 1°C spread before official station data finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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