Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C in Shenzhen on May 18, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered light rainfall tied to a nearby trough that limits daytime solar heating. This setup keeps temperatures modestly below the mid-May climatological average high of 29–30°C at the official Bao’an station, with ensemble guidance showing only modest disagreement on the exact peak. Trader consensus remains tightly split between 27°C and 28°C because any brief clearing could allow readings to edge higher, while sustained overcast conditions would cap them at the lower end. Updated model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 18 mai ?
27°C 30%
28°C 27%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
30%
28°C
31%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
28°C 27%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
$446 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
1%
24°C
$65 Vol.
1%
25°C
$222 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$18 Vol.
30%
28°C
$9 Vol.
31%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$27 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$142 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C in Shenzhen on May 18, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered light rainfall tied to a nearby trough that limits daytime solar heating. This setup keeps temperatures modestly below the mid-May climatological average high of 29–30°C at the official Bao’an station, with ensemble guidance showing only modest disagreement on the exact peak. Trader consensus remains tightly split between 27°C and 28°C because any brief clearing could allow readings to edge higher, while sustained overcast conditions would cap them at the lower end. Updated model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,029Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C in Shenzhen on May 18, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered light rainfall tied to a nearby trough that limits daytime solar heating. This setup keeps temperatures modestly below the mid-May climatological average high of 29–30°C at the official Bao’an station, with ensemble guidance showing only modest disagreement on the exact peak. Trader consensus remains tightly split between 27°C and 28°C because any brief clearing could allow readings to edge higher, while sustained overcast conditions would cap them at the lower end. Updated model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,029Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZLatest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C in Shenzhen on May 18, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered light rainfall tied to a nearby trough that limits daytime solar heating. This setup keeps temperatures modestly below the mid-May climatological average high of 29–30°C at the official Bao’an station, with ensemble guidance showing only modest disagreement on the exact peak. Trader consensus remains tightly split between 27°C and 28°C because any brief clearing could allow readings to edge higher, while sustained overcast conditions would cap them at the lower end. Updated model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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