Current forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C edging the market lead due to consensus on modest daytime warming under variable cloud cover. Thundery showers and light westerly flow could suppress peak readings by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief spikes toward 21 °C. Ensemble spread remains notable this close to the event, reflecting typical uncertainty in short-range convection and boundary-layer processes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet recent model runs emphasize the moderating influence of Atlantic moisture and frontal activity. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 34%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
18°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
7%
19°C
32%
20°C
34%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
6%
20°C 34%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
18°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
12°C or below
$101 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$213 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$212 Vol.
7%
19°C
$20 Vol.
32%
20°C
$46 Vol.
34%
21°C
$20 Vol.
22%
22°C or higher
$100 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C edging the market lead due to consensus on modest daytime warming under variable cloud cover. Thundery showers and light westerly flow could suppress peak readings by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief spikes toward 21 °C. Ensemble spread remains notable this close to the event, reflecting typical uncertainty in short-range convection and boundary-layer processes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet recent model runs emphasize the moderating influence of Atlantic moisture and frontal activity. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,015Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C edging the market lead due to consensus on modest daytime warming under variable cloud cover. Thundery showers and light westerly flow could suppress peak readings by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief spikes toward 21 °C. Ensemble spread remains notable this close to the event, reflecting typical uncertainty in short-range convection and boundary-layer processes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet recent model runs emphasize the moderating influence of Atlantic moisture and frontal activity. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,015Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C edging the market lead due to consensus on modest daytime warming under variable cloud cover. Thundery showers and light westerly flow could suppress peak readings by limiting insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief spikes toward 21 °C. Ensemble spread remains notable this close to the event, reflecting typical uncertainty in short-range convection and boundary-layer processes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet recent model runs emphasize the moderating influence of Atlantic moisture and frontal activity. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes