Forecast models from MetService and international sources converge on a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. This outcome aligns with long-term August climatology, where historical highs average 12–15°C, and recent northerly wind shifts have modestly elevated overnight minima without triggering stronger warming. Official guidance shows no significant cold fronts or blocking patterns capable of shifting the range outside the narrow 14–16°C window. Real-time trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing observational consistency. Late-day model updates or unexpected changes in cloud cover or wind direction remain the primary variables that could still alter the final recorded high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 13 août ?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$47,555 Vol.
$47,555 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$47,555 Vol.
$47,555 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international sources converge on a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. This outcome aligns with long-term August climatology, where historical highs average 12–15°C, and recent northerly wind shifts have modestly elevated overnight minima without triggering stronger warming. Official guidance shows no significant cold fronts or blocking patterns capable of shifting the range outside the narrow 14–16°C window. Real-time trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing observational consistency. Late-day model updates or unexpected changes in cloud cover or wind direction remain the primary variables that could still alter the final recorded high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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