Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Zhengzhou on September 3, with clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and low humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in afternoon peak temperatures, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, separates the 29°C and 30°C bins, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent stronger warming or reduced cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 3 septembre ?
29°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C ou plus 23%
27°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
11%
29°C
34%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C ou plus
23%
29°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C ou plus 23%
27°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
34%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Zhengzhou on September 3, with clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and low humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in afternoon peak temperatures, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, separates the 29°C and 30°C bins, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent stronger warming or reduced cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,020Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Zhengzhou on September 3, with clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and low humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in afternoon peak temperatures, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, separates the 29°C and 30°C bins, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent stronger warming or reduced cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,020Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Zhengzhou on September 3, with clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and low humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (25.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in afternoon peak temperatures, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, separates the 29°C and 30°C bins, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain low absent stronger warming or reduced cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes