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icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

déc. 9

janv. 27, 2027

2 24.2%

3 24%

4+ 22%

1 17.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

2 24.2%

3 24%

4+ 22%

1 17.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

0

$6,060 Vol.

16%

1

$314 Vol.

18%

2

$134 Vol.

24%

3

$153 Vol.

24%

4+

$168 Vol.

22%

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation persisting above the Fed’s 2% target, with July 2026 CPI at approximately 3.4% headline and core near 2.5%, alongside mixed labor data including a July payrolls decline, forms the core driver of dispersed trader expectations for dissent at the December 2026 FOMC meeting. Recent policy actions, including the July hold at 3.50%-3.75% with three dissents favoring a hike, underscore ongoing divisions among officials balancing price stability against employment risks. Market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over whether incoming CPI, PCE, and employment releases will narrow or widen these policy differences ahead of the December Summary of Economic Projections.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,829
Date de fin
9 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation persisting above the Fed’s 2% target, with July 2026 CPI at approximately 3.4% headline and core near 2.5%, alongside mixed labor data including a July payrolls decline, forms the core driver of dispersed trader expectations for dissent at the December 2026 FOMC meeting. Recent policy actions, including the July hold at 3.50%-3.75% with three dissents favoring a hike, underscore ongoing divisions among officials balancing price stability against employment risks. Market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over whether incoming CPI, PCE, and employment releases will narrow or widen these policy differences ahead of the December Summary of Economic Projections.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,829
Date de fin
9 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Connexes

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Trois personnes vont-elles s'opposer à la décision de la Fed en janvier ?

29%
Oui
icon for N'y aura-t-il aucun changement des taux d'intérêt de la Fed après la réunion de décembre 2026 ?

N'y aura-t-il aucun changement des taux d'intérêt de la Fed après la réunion de décembre 2026 ?

68%
Oui
icon for Le plafond du taux cible des fonds fédéraux sera-t-il de 3,75 % à la fin de 2026 ?

Le plafond du taux cible des fonds fédéraux sera-t-il de 3,75 % à la fin de 2026 ?

39%
Oui

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