Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1 000 3.6%
25k-100k 2.1%
$293,223 Vol.
$293,223 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
1-100
65%
101-1 000
4%
1 000 à 2 500
<1%
2,5k-5k
<1%
5k-10k
2%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
5%
1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1 000 3.6%
25k-100k 2.1%
$293,223 Vol.
$293,223 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
1-100
$18,522 Vol.
65%
101-1 000
$41,423 Vol.
4%
1 000 à 2 500
$11,324 Vol.
<1%
2,5k-5k
$11,094 Vol.
<1%
5k-10k
$11,989 Vol.
2%
10k-25k
$116,872 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$11,454 Vol.
2%
>100k
$26,118 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$293,223Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$293,223Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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