Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 2026 midterms, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25 Republican governors after November because 18 Republican-held seats face voters alongside an equal number of Democratic ones, many in states with open races due to term limits or retirements. Recent primary activity and early polling in competitive contests such as Georgia, Kansas, and several Midwest states show no decisive advantage for either side, while national midterm dynamics and district-level turnout patterns keep outcomes closely balanced. Any sustained shift in voter sentiment toward one party in the remaining months could move the final count outside the current narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour22–23 34%
24–25 31%
26–27 17%
<22 14%
$667,357 Vol.
$667,357 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
<22
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
31%
26–27
17%
28–29
9%
30–31
<1%
32+
<1%
22–23 34%
24–25 31%
26–27 17%
<22 14%
$667,357 Vol.
$667,357 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
<22
$45,042 Vol.
14%
22–23
$5,799 Vol.
34%
24–25
$30,030 Vol.
31%
26–27
$14,093 Vol.
17%
28–29
$553,895 Vol.
9%
30–31
$5,551 Vol.
<1%
32+
$12,947 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 2026 midterms, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25 Republican governors after November because 18 Republican-held seats face voters alongside an equal number of Democratic ones, many in states with open races due to term limits or retirements. Recent primary activity and early polling in competitive contests such as Georgia, Kansas, and several Midwest states show no decisive advantage for either side, while national midterm dynamics and district-level turnout patterns keep outcomes closely balanced. Any sustained shift in voter sentiment toward one party in the remaining months could move the final count outside the current narrow range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$667,357Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 2026 midterms, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25 Republican governors after November because 18 Republican-held seats face voters alongside an equal number of Democratic ones, many in states with open races due to term limits or retirements. Recent primary activity and early polling in competitive contests such as Georgia, Kansas, and several Midwest states show no decisive advantage for either side, while national midterm dynamics and district-level turnout patterns keep outcomes closely balanced. Any sustained shift in voter sentiment toward one party in the remaining months could move the final count outside the current narrow range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$667,357Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 2026 midterms, with 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties. Trader consensus clusters around 22–25 Republican governors after November because 18 Republican-held seats face voters alongside an equal number of Democratic ones, many in states with open races due to term limits or retirements. Recent primary activity and early polling in competitive contests such as Georgia, Kansas, and several Midwest states show no decisive advantage for either side, while national midterm dynamics and district-level turnout patterns keep outcomes closely balanced. Any sustained shift in voter sentiment toward one party in the remaining months could move the final count outside the current narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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