Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, continuing a string of readings in the low-to-mid 50s, anchors trader expectations for the August release near similar levels amid steady services-sector expansion. Business activity and new orders indices have provided key support in recent months, while employment has shown mixed signals and price pressures remain elevated due to energy costs and lingering tariff effects. The closely bunched probabilities across the 53–55 range reflect uncertainty over whether August data will match the prior print or soften slightly, with the August 5 release and broader economic releases likely to shape sentiment ahead of the September 3 report. Market-implied odds capture real-capital consensus on a resilient but not accelerating services backdrop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour54.0–54.9 22%
53.0–53.9 21%
52.0–52.9 20%
<50.0 13.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
<50.0
14%
50.0–50.9
7%
51.0–51.9
9%
52.0–52.9
20%
53.0–53.9
21%
54.0–54.9
22%
55.0–55.9
13%
56.0–56.9
6%
57.0–57.9
7%
58.0+
8%
54.0–54.9 22%
53.0–53.9 21%
52.0–52.9 20%
<50.0 13.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
<50.0
$40 Vol.
14%
50.0–50.9
$45 Vol.
7%
51.0–51.9
$80 Vol.
9%
52.0–52.9
$162 Vol.
20%
53.0–53.9
$103 Vol.
21%
54.0–54.9
$100 Vol.
22%
55.0–55.9
$40 Vol.
13%
56.0–56.9
$40 Vol.
6%
57.0–57.9
$40 Vol.
7%
58.0+
$78 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, continuing a string of readings in the low-to-mid 50s, anchors trader expectations for the August release near similar levels amid steady services-sector expansion. Business activity and new orders indices have provided key support in recent months, while employment has shown mixed signals and price pressures remain elevated due to energy costs and lingering tariff effects. The closely bunched probabilities across the 53–55 range reflect uncertainty over whether August data will match the prior print or soften slightly, with the August 5 release and broader economic releases likely to shape sentiment ahead of the September 3 report. Market-implied odds capture real-capital consensus on a resilient but not accelerating services backdrop.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volume
$728Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, continuing a string of readings in the low-to-mid 50s, anchors trader expectations for the August release near similar levels amid steady services-sector expansion. Business activity and new orders indices have provided key support in recent months, while employment has shown mixed signals and price pressures remain elevated due to energy costs and lingering tariff effects. The closely bunched probabilities across the 53–55 range reflect uncertainty over whether August data will match the prior print or soften slightly, with the August 5 release and broader economic releases likely to shape sentiment ahead of the September 3 report. Market-implied odds capture real-capital consensus on a resilient but not accelerating services backdrop.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$728Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, continuing a string of readings in the low-to-mid 50s, anchors trader expectations for the August release near similar levels amid steady services-sector expansion. Business activity and new orders indices have provided key support in recent months, while employment has shown mixed signals and price pressures remain elevated due to energy costs and lingering tariff effects. The closely bunched probabilities across the 53–55 range reflect uncertainty over whether August data will match the prior print or soften slightly, with the August 5 release and broader economic releases likely to shape sentiment ahead of the September 3 report. Market-implied odds capture real-capital consensus on a resilient but not accelerating services backdrop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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