Adam Hamilton leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, propelled by his late April 30 entry and explosive fundraising—over $2 million raised shortly after launch as founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church in Leawood. This high-profile profile and centrist positioning in a crowded field of over 10 candidates, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt (3.5%) and business executive Sandy Spidel Neumann (4.7%), have consolidated support amid limited polling. No major endorsements or debates have shifted dynamics recently, leaving Hamilton's name recognition and resources as key differentiators ahead of early voting. Incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall awaits the nominee in November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAdam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.9%
Patrick Schmidt 3.5%
Sharice Davids 1.4%
$128,722 Vol.
$128,722 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
5%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.9%
Patrick Schmidt 3.5%
Sharice Davids 1.4%
$128,722 Vol.
$128,722 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
5%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, propelled by his late April 30 entry and explosive fundraising—over $2 million raised shortly after launch as founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church in Leawood. This high-profile profile and centrist positioning in a crowded field of over 10 candidates, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt (3.5%) and business executive Sandy Spidel Neumann (4.7%), have consolidated support amid limited polling. No major endorsements or debates have shifted dynamics recently, leaving Hamilton's name recognition and resources as key differentiators ahead of early voting. Incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall awaits the nominee in November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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