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icon for Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ?

icon for Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ?

<5 71%

20-24 7%

15-19 5.9%

5-9 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<5 71%

20-24 7%

15-19 5.9%

5-9 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<5

$11 Vol.

71%

5-9

$5 Vol.

6%

10-14

$5 Vol.

5%

15-19

$5 Vol.

6%

20-24

$45 Vol.

10%

25-29

$63 Vol.

5%

30-34

$62 Vol.

5%

35-39

$95 Vol.

3%

40-44

$51 Vol.

3%

45-49

$37 Vol.

2%

50-54

$189 Vol.

4%

55-59

$136 Vol.

2%

60+

$106 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) now operates in memorial mode following his reported death in early 2026, shifting to sporadic archival reposts and occasional statements rather than daily original content. Recent comparable weekly periods show low output—often under 10 posts—driven by the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose own account faces health-related constraints, and the absence of acute new triggers requiring frequent official messaging. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the <5 and 5-9 bins because historical patterns in this post-martyrdom phase favor minimal activity absent major escalations. Separation could emerge from diplomatic summits, missile exchanges, or religious observances falling inside the June 26–July 3 window that prompt coordinated statements or reposts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$810
Date de fin
3 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) now operates in memorial mode following his reported death in early 2026, shifting to sporadic archival reposts and occasional statements rather than daily original content. Recent comparable weekly periods show low output—often under 10 posts—driven by the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose own account faces health-related constraints, and the absence of acute new triggers requiring frequent official messaging. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the <5 and 5-9 bins because historical patterns in this post-martyrdom phase favor minimal activity absent major escalations. Separation could emerge from diplomatic summits, missile exchanges, or religious observances falling inside the June 26–July 3 window that prompt coordinated statements or reposts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$810
Date de fin
3 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Questions fréquentes

« Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <5 » à 71%, suivi de « 20-24 » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 23, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ? » est « <5 » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 20-24 » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Khamenei # posts 26 juin - 3 juillet 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.