Skip to main content
icon for Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

<5 92%

5-9 7%

15-19 3.0%

10-14 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,767 Vol.

<5 92%

5-9 7%

15-19 3.0%

10-14 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,767 Vol.

<5

$2,201 Vol.

90%

5-9

$1,991 Vol.

7%

10-14

$981 Vol.

2%

15-19

$1,493 Vol.

3%

20-24

$946 Vol.

1%

25-29

$401 Vol.

1%

30-34

$458 Vol.

1%

35-39

$443 Vol.

<1%

40-44

$596 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$484 Vol.

1%

50-54

$498 Vol.

1%

55-59

$609 Vol.

<1%

60+

$666 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during the May 12-19 window, driven by his established pattern of low-volume social media activity across official channels. Khamenei typically releases a limited number of formal statements focused on foreign policy, domestic governance, or religious observances rather than routine updates or commentary. No major diplomatic summits, policy shifts, or regional developments in the past month have altered this baseline frequency. While an unexpected escalation in international tensions or a high-profile announcement could increase output, historical records indicate such surges rarely push totals above the low single digits in any given week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,767
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during the May 12-19 window, driven by his established pattern of low-volume social media activity across official channels. Khamenei typically releases a limited number of formal statements focused on foreign policy, domestic governance, or religious observances rather than routine updates or commentary. No major diplomatic summits, policy shifts, or regional developments in the past month have altered this baseline frequency. While an unexpected escalation in international tensions or a high-profile announcement could increase output, historical records indicate such surges rarely push totals above the low single digits in any given week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,767
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <5 » à 90%, suivi de « 5-9 » à 7%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 90¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026? » a généré $11.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026? » est « <5 » à 90%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 5-9 » à 7%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.