The trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during the May 12-19 window, driven by his established pattern of low-volume social media activity across official channels. Khamenei typically releases a limited number of formal statements focused on foreign policy, domestic governance, or religious observances rather than routine updates or commentary. No major diplomatic summits, policy shifts, or regional developments in the past month have altered this baseline frequency. While an unexpected escalation in international tensions or a high-profile announcement could increase output, historical records indicate such surges rarely push totals above the low single digits in any given week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 92%
5-9 7%
15-19 3.0%
10-14 1.9%
$11,767 Vol.
$11,767 Vol.
<5
90%
5-9
7%
10-14
2%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 92%
5-9 7%
15-19 3.0%
10-14 1.9%
$11,767 Vol.
$11,767 Vol.
<5
90%
5-9
7%
10-14
2%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during the May 12-19 window, driven by his established pattern of low-volume social media activity across official channels. Khamenei typically releases a limited number of formal statements focused on foreign policy, domestic governance, or religious observances rather than routine updates or commentary. No major diplomatic summits, policy shifts, or regional developments in the past month have altered this baseline frequency. While an unexpected escalation in international tensions or a high-profile announcement could increase output, historical records indicate such surges rarely push totals above the low single digits in any given week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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