Iran's Supreme Leader succession following Ali Khamenei's 2026 martyrdom has shifted official communications toward Mojtaba Khamenei while maintaining the @khamenei_ir account for targeted statements on foreign policy and resistance themes. Recent weeks show sparse output, with only archival releases since early May amid emphasis on internal stabilization, economic resilience under sanctions, and diplomatic positioning in the Persian Gulf rather than routine social media activity. This pattern supports trader consensus favoring under five posts for the May 15–22 window, as no major escalations, summits, or legislative votes have triggered additional statements. Potential catalysts remain limited to unforeseen developments in US-Iran tensions or regional alliances, though current conditions align with established low-frequency posting norms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts 15 mai - 22 mai 2026 ?
Khamenei # posts 15 mai - 22 mai 2026 ?
<5 43%
30-34 18.8%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
<5
43%
5-9
26%
10-14
22%
15-19
25%
20-24
22%
25-29
26%
30-34
19%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
3%
50-54
37%
55-59
8%
60+
<1%
<5 43%
30-34 18.8%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
<5
$233 Vol.
43%
5-9
$81 Vol.
26%
10-14
$90 Vol.
22%
15-19
$63 Vol.
25%
20-24
$59 Vol.
22%
25-29
$59 Vol.
26%
30-34
$120 Vol.
19%
35-39
$88 Vol.
1%
40-44
$190 Vol.
1%
45-49
$114 Vol.
3%
50-54
$197 Vol.
37%
55-59
$179 Vol.
8%
60+
$338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's Supreme Leader succession following Ali Khamenei's 2026 martyrdom has shifted official communications toward Mojtaba Khamenei while maintaining the @khamenei_ir account for targeted statements on foreign policy and resistance themes. Recent weeks show sparse output, with only archival releases since early May amid emphasis on internal stabilization, economic resilience under sanctions, and diplomatic positioning in the Persian Gulf rather than routine social media activity. This pattern supports trader consensus favoring under five posts for the May 15–22 window, as no major escalations, summits, or legislative votes have triggered additional statements. Potential catalysts remain limited to unforeseen developments in US-Iran tensions or regional alliances, though current conditions align with established low-frequency posting norms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,810Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's Supreme Leader succession following Ali Khamenei's 2026 martyrdom has shifted official communications toward Mojtaba Khamenei while maintaining the @khamenei_ir account for targeted statements on foreign policy and resistance themes. Recent weeks show sparse output, with only archival releases since early May amid emphasis on internal stabilization, economic resilience under sanctions, and diplomatic positioning in the Persian Gulf rather than routine social media activity. This pattern supports trader consensus favoring under five posts for the May 15–22 window, as no major escalations, summits, or legislative votes have triggered additional statements. Potential catalysts remain limited to unforeseen developments in US-Iran tensions or regional alliances, though current conditions align with established low-frequency posting norms.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,810Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's Supreme Leader succession following Ali Khamenei's 2026 martyrdom has shifted official communications toward Mojtaba Khamenei while maintaining the @khamenei_ir account for targeted statements on foreign policy and resistance themes. Recent weeks show sparse output, with only archival releases since early May amid emphasis on internal stabilization, economic resilience under sanctions, and diplomatic positioning in the Persian Gulf rather than routine social media activity. This pattern supports trader consensus favoring under five posts for the May 15–22 window, as no major escalations, summits, or legislative votes have triggered additional statements. Potential catalysts remain limited to unforeseen developments in US-Iran tensions or regional alliances, though current conditions align with established low-frequency posting norms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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