Recent forecasts for Busan on August 22 point to a minimum temperature near 26°C as the leading outcome, supported by persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air with dew points around 24–26°C. Light easterly winds and high relative humidity above 80% limit nocturnal radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions seen in prior days. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies that may reduce heat loss compared to clearer scenarios favoring 25°C, while any brief showers or slightly stronger mixing could nudge the low toward 27°C. With outcomes tightly clustered, traders weigh subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture against historical August lows typically near 24–25°C. Updated numerical guidance and overnight observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.