Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and regional models project Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 16 near 11–13°C, driven by a post-frontal southeasterly wind shift that replaces northerly flow and rain on the 15th with drier air and partial clearing overnight. This setup favors modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, though sustained 20–30 km/h winds may limit the drop. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current model spread centers on 11–12°C, producing tightly matched market odds around those levels. Updated runs tonight and official South African Weather Service guidance will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 16 septembre ?
17°C ou plus 43%
7°C ou moins 40%
8°C 39%
14°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
40%
8°C
39%
9°C
23%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
28%
13°C
24%
14°C
39%
15°C
8%
16°C
39%
17°C ou plus
43%
17°C ou plus 43%
7°C ou moins 40%
8°C 39%
14°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
23%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and regional models project Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 16 near 11–13°C, driven by a post-frontal southeasterly wind shift that replaces northerly flow and rain on the 15th with drier air and partial clearing overnight. This setup favors modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, though sustained 20–30 km/h winds may limit the drop. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current model spread centers on 11–12°C, producing tightly matched market odds around those levels. Updated runs tonight and official South African Weather Service guidance will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and regional models project Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 16 near 11–13°C, driven by a post-frontal southeasterly wind shift that replaces northerly flow and rain on the 15th with drier air and partial clearing overnight. This setup favors modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, though sustained 20–30 km/h winds may limit the drop. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current model spread centers on 11–12°C, producing tightly matched market odds around those levels. Updated runs tonight and official South African Weather Service guidance will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and regional models project Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 16 near 11–13°C, driven by a post-frontal southeasterly wind shift that replaces northerly flow and rain on the 15th with drier air and partial clearing overnight. This setup favors modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, though sustained 20–30 km/h winds may limit the drop. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current model spread centers on 11–12°C, producing tightly matched market odds around those levels. Updated runs tonight and official South African Weather Service guidance will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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