Traders are centering on National Weather Service guidance for Chicago’s overnight minimum on August 25, with the latest GFS and ECMWF runs placing the low most likely between 56–61 °F under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. A weak short-wave trough and modest dew-point drop are introducing forecast spread, while persistent upper-level ridging has kept readings near or slightly below late-August climatological normals of 60–63 °F. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight, which could shift the observed low by 2–3 °F. The next model cycle tonight and morning mesonet observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing across the tightly bunched 56–61 °F bands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 25 août ?
58-59°F 32%
56-57°F 28%
49°F or below 26%
62-63°F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
49°F or below
26%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
2%
68°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 32%
56-57°F 28%
49°F or below 26%
62-63°F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
49°F or below
$5 Vol.
26%
50-51°F
$196 Vol.
5%
52-53°F
$145 Vol.
9%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
23%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
32%
60-61°F
$16 Vol.
32%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$61 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$150 Vol.
2%
68°F or higher
$150 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are centering on National Weather Service guidance for Chicago’s overnight minimum on August 25, with the latest GFS and ECMWF runs placing the low most likely between 56–61 °F under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. A weak short-wave trough and modest dew-point drop are introducing forecast spread, while persistent upper-level ridging has kept readings near or slightly below late-August climatological normals of 60–63 °F. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight, which could shift the observed low by 2–3 °F. The next model cycle tonight and morning mesonet observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing across the tightly bunched 56–61 °F bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$728Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are centering on National Weather Service guidance for Chicago’s overnight minimum on August 25, with the latest GFS and ECMWF runs placing the low most likely between 56–61 °F under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. A weak short-wave trough and modest dew-point drop are introducing forecast spread, while persistent upper-level ridging has kept readings near or slightly below late-August climatological normals of 60–63 °F. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight, which could shift the observed low by 2–3 °F. The next model cycle tonight and morning mesonet observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing across the tightly bunched 56–61 °F bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$728Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are centering on National Weather Service guidance for Chicago’s overnight minimum on August 25, with the latest GFS and ECMWF runs placing the low most likely between 56–61 °F under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. A weak short-wave trough and modest dew-point drop are introducing forecast spread, while persistent upper-level ridging has kept readings near or slightly below late-August climatological normals of 60–63 °F. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing after midnight, which could shift the observed low by 2–3 °F. The next model cycle tonight and morning mesonet observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing across the tightly bunched 56–61 °F bands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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