Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 21, with a daily range of 27–31°C under generally cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C, reflecting consensus across models on limited overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity near 70–95% and light northeasterly winds. Typical late-September climatology in the region supports overnight lows near 26–27°C absent strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to view deviations below 26°C as unlikely without unexpected model shifts or clearer skies enhancing cooling before the overnight minimum is recorded at the official observatory site.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 21 septembre ?
27°C 72%
26°C 12%
24°C 7%
25°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
72%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 72%
26°C 12%
24°C 7%
25°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$37 Vol.
2%
23°C
$394 Vol.
1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
7%
25°C
$436 Vol.
4%
26°C
$817 Vol.
14%
27°C
$2,669 Vol.
72%
28°C
$3,296 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C
$299 Vol.
1%
31°C
$294 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 21, with a daily range of 27–31°C under generally cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C, reflecting consensus across models on limited overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity near 70–95% and light northeasterly winds. Typical late-September climatology in the region supports overnight lows near 26–27°C absent strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to view deviations below 26°C as unlikely without unexpected model shifts or clearer skies enhancing cooling before the overnight minimum is recorded at the official observatory site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,511Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 21, with a daily range of 27–31°C under generally cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C, reflecting consensus across models on limited overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity near 70–95% and light northeasterly winds. Typical late-September climatology in the region supports overnight lows near 26–27°C absent strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to view deviations below 26°C as unlikely without unexpected model shifts or clearer skies enhancing cooling before the overnight minimum is recorded at the official observatory site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,511Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C for September 21, with a daily range of 27–31°C under generally cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C, reflecting consensus across models on limited overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity near 70–95% and light northeasterly winds. Typical late-September climatology in the region supports overnight lows near 26–27°C absent strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to view deviations below 26°C as unlikely without unexpected model shifts or clearer skies enhancing cooling before the overnight minimum is recorded at the official observatory site.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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