Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan on September 2, supporting overnight radiative cooling from daytime highs near 29–30°C but limiting extreme drops due to a persistent warm air mass and low humidity. Multiple sources converge on minimum temperatures of 15–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows fall around 16–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 22°C or higher alongside clustered odds near 25–26% for 15–19°C, appears driven by model consensus on mild steering patterns and minimal frontal activity, with negligible weight on colder outcomes below 14°C given current observational trends. Updated model runs and official minimum readings on the day will provide key resolution data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Jinan le 2 septembre ?
22°C ou plus 93%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C ou plus
93%
22°C ou plus 93%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C ou plus
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan on September 2, supporting overnight radiative cooling from daytime highs near 29–30°C but limiting extreme drops due to a persistent warm air mass and low humidity. Multiple sources converge on minimum temperatures of 15–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows fall around 16–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 22°C or higher alongside clustered odds near 25–26% for 15–19°C, appears driven by model consensus on mild steering patterns and minimal frontal activity, with negligible weight on colder outcomes below 14°C given current observational trends. Updated model runs and official minimum readings on the day will provide key resolution data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes