**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 10 septembre ?
12°C 47%
13°C 33%
14°C 13%
11°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
47%
13°C
33%
14°C
13%
15°C ou plus
3%
12°C 47%
13°C 33%
14°C 13%
11°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
$116 Vol.
1%
6°C
$25 Vol.
1%
7°C
$68 Vol.
1%
8°C
$262 Vol.
1%
9°C
$513 Vol.
2%
10°C
$159 Vol.
3%
11°C
$472 Vol.
6%
12°C
$1,845 Vol.
47%
13°C
$665 Vol.
33%
14°C
$429 Vol.
13%
15°C ou plus
$66 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,621Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,621Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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