Current meteorological forecasts for London on September 9, 2026, show a minimum temperature of 12°C driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light southwesterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn. Multiple models align on this value, consistent with seasonal baselines around 11–13°C for the period and recent observational trends showing mild nights without significant cold advection. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 12°C reflects this strong model agreement and low forecast uncertainty near resolution. A realistic shift to 11°C or lower would require unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing overnight cooling or a sharper wind shift, though current guidance shows minimal probability of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 9 septembre ?
12°C 99%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C <1%
$7,892 Vol.
$7,892 Vol.
6°C ou moins
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 99%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C <1%
$7,892 Vol.
$7,892 Vol.
6°C ou moins
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for London on September 9, 2026, show a minimum temperature of 12°C driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light southwesterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn. Multiple models align on this value, consistent with seasonal baselines around 11–13°C for the period and recent observational trends showing mild nights without significant cold advection. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 12°C reflects this strong model agreement and low forecast uncertainty near resolution. A realistic shift to 11°C or lower would require unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing overnight cooling or a sharper wind shift, though current guidance shows minimal probability of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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