Current National Weather Service forecasts and recent Miami observations point to an overnight low near 82-83°F as the most likely outcome for August 15, consistent with trader consensus. Subtropical humidity, elevated Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat island effect limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums elevated during peak summer. Model guidance shows little change from the past week’s pattern of 90-plus daytime highs and minimal frontal influence. With the calendar date now here, final hourly readings from official stations will determine resolution; any unexpected seabreeze strengthening or brief shower activity could nudge the minimum slightly lower, though probabilities for 80°F or below remain modest at present.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 15 août ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 15 août ?
80-81°F 46%
78-79 °F 5%
76-77 °F 2%
74-75°F <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
67°F ou moins
<1%
68-69 °F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77 °F
2%
78-79 °F
5%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
55%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79 °F 5%
76-77 °F 2%
74-75°F <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
67°F ou moins
$455 Vol.
<1%
68-69 °F
$428 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$553 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$63 Vol.
1%
76-77 °F
$519 Vol.
2%
78-79 °F
$584 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$281 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$551 Vol.
55%
84-85°F
$2,023 Vol.
<1%
86°F ou plus
$518 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and recent Miami observations point to an overnight low near 82-83°F as the most likely outcome for August 15, consistent with trader consensus. Subtropical humidity, elevated Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat island effect limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums elevated during peak summer. Model guidance shows little change from the past week’s pattern of 90-plus daytime highs and minimal frontal influence. With the calendar date now here, final hourly readings from official stations will determine resolution; any unexpected seabreeze strengthening or brief shower activity could nudge the minimum slightly lower, though probabilities for 80°F or below remain modest at present.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$6,279Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and recent Miami observations point to an overnight low near 82-83°F as the most likely outcome for August 15, consistent with trader consensus. Subtropical humidity, elevated Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat island effect limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums elevated during peak summer. Model guidance shows little change from the past week’s pattern of 90-plus daytime highs and minimal frontal influence. With the calendar date now here, final hourly readings from official stations will determine resolution; any unexpected seabreeze strengthening or brief shower activity could nudge the minimum slightly lower, though probabilities for 80°F or below remain modest at present.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,279Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and recent Miami observations point to an overnight low near 82-83°F as the most likely outcome for August 15, consistent with trader consensus. Subtropical humidity, elevated Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat island effect limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums elevated during peak summer. Model guidance shows little change from the past week’s pattern of 90-plus daytime highs and minimal frontal influence. With the calendar date now here, final hourly readings from official stations will determine resolution; any unexpected seabreeze strengthening or brief shower activity could nudge the minimum slightly lower, though probabilities for 80°F or below remain modest at present.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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