Traders see elevated uncertainty in Munich's minimum temperature for August 26 because numerical weather models show modest disagreement on the strength of an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection. Late-summer radiative cooling under clear skies could drop readings several degrees below the seasonal 12–14 °C climatological low, while increased cloud cover or southerly flow would keep the minimum near or above that range. Ensemble spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service highlight sensitivity to exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, keeping implied probabilities clustered between 8 °C or below and 14 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 26 août ?
8°C or below 64%
12°C 30%
13°C 27%
14°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C or below
64%
9°C
5%
10°C
13%
11°C
23%
12°C
30%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
12%
16°C
8%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
1%
8°C or below 64%
12°C 30%
13°C 27%
14°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
64%
9°C
$0 Vol.
5%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in Munich's minimum temperature for August 26 because numerical weather models show modest disagreement on the strength of an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection. Late-summer radiative cooling under clear skies could drop readings several degrees below the seasonal 12–14 °C climatological low, while increased cloud cover or southerly flow would keep the minimum near or above that range. Ensemble spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service highlight sensitivity to exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, keeping implied probabilities clustered between 8 °C or below and 14 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in Munich's minimum temperature for August 26 because numerical weather models show modest disagreement on the strength of an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection. Late-summer radiative cooling under clear skies could drop readings several degrees below the seasonal 12–14 °C climatological low, while increased cloud cover or southerly flow would keep the minimum near or above that range. Ensemble spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service highlight sensitivity to exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, keeping implied probabilities clustered between 8 °C or below and 14 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see elevated uncertainty in Munich's minimum temperature for August 26 because numerical weather models show modest disagreement on the strength of an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection. Late-summer radiative cooling under clear skies could drop readings several degrees below the seasonal 12–14 °C climatological low, while increased cloud cover or southerly flow would keep the minimum near or above that range. Ensemble spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service highlight sensitivity to exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, keeping implied probabilities clustered between 8 °C or below and 14 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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