**Ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 8 most likely falling in the 14–17°C range, driven by a warm daytime air mass reaching 27–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity and limited cloud cover, preventing deeper drops toward the seasonal average low of ~11°C, while any increase in low-level mixing or thin high clouds could keep readings closer to 16–17°C. Model spread in boundary-layer processes and exact timing of any weak frontal influence creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes below 14°C absent stronger cooling signals in updated runs. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and DWD guidance for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 8 septembre ?
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
14°C 44%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
15%
13°C
38%
14°C
44%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C ou plus
22%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
14°C 44%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
44%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 8 most likely falling in the 14–17°C range, driven by a warm daytime air mass reaching 27–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity and limited cloud cover, preventing deeper drops toward the seasonal average low of ~11°C, while any increase in low-level mixing or thin high clouds could keep readings closer to 16–17°C. Model spread in boundary-layer processes and exact timing of any weak frontal influence creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes below 14°C absent stronger cooling signals in updated runs. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and DWD guidance for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 8 most likely falling in the 14–17°C range, driven by a warm daytime air mass reaching 27–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity and limited cloud cover, preventing deeper drops toward the seasonal average low of ~11°C, while any increase in low-level mixing or thin high clouds could keep readings closer to 16–17°C. Model spread in boundary-layer processes and exact timing of any weak frontal influence creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes below 14°C absent stronger cooling signals in updated runs. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and DWD guidance for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 8 most likely falling in the 14–17°C range, driven by a warm daytime air mass reaching 27–30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity and limited cloud cover, preventing deeper drops toward the seasonal average low of ~11°C, while any increase in low-level mixing or thin high clouds could keep readings closer to 16–17°C. Model spread in boundary-layer processes and exact timing of any weak frontal influence creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes below 14°C absent stronger cooling signals in updated runs. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and DWD guidance for refinements ahead of the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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