Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a primary driver of mid-90s highs for Houston on September 8, with sunny skies, light southeast winds, and heat indices exceeding 105°F supporting the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 37.5% implied probability. Subtle differences among close outcomes hinge on sea-breeze timing, afternoon humidity levels near 50%, and any scattered cloud development that could cap peak temperatures versus allowing fuller insolation. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet late-summer patterns often produce 2–4°F variability depending on steering flow and moisture. Traders weigh these forecast nuances against official updates expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 8 septembre ?
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 31%
90-91°F 22%
88-89 °F 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
83°F ou moins
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89 °F
15%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
15%
98-99 °F
7%
100-101°F
7%
102°F ou plus
7%
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 31%
90-91°F 22%
88-89 °F 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
83°F ou moins
$42 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89 °F
$0 Vol.
15%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
22%
92-93°F
$579 Vol.
31%
94-95°F
$134 Vol.
40%
96-97°F
$25 Vol.
15%
98-99 °F
$0 Vol.
7%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
7%
102°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a primary driver of mid-90s highs for Houston on September 8, with sunny skies, light southeast winds, and heat indices exceeding 105°F supporting the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 37.5% implied probability. Subtle differences among close outcomes hinge on sea-breeze timing, afternoon humidity levels near 50%, and any scattered cloud development that could cap peak temperatures versus allowing fuller insolation. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet late-summer patterns often produce 2–4°F variability depending on steering flow and moisture. Traders weigh these forecast nuances against official updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$779Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a primary driver of mid-90s highs for Houston on September 8, with sunny skies, light southeast winds, and heat indices exceeding 105°F supporting the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 37.5% implied probability. Subtle differences among close outcomes hinge on sea-breeze timing, afternoon humidity levels near 50%, and any scattered cloud development that could cap peak temperatures versus allowing fuller insolation. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet late-summer patterns often produce 2–4°F variability depending on steering flow and moisture. Traders weigh these forecast nuances against official updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$779Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a primary driver of mid-90s highs for Houston on September 8, with sunny skies, light southeast winds, and heat indices exceeding 105°F supporting the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 37.5% implied probability. Subtle differences among close outcomes hinge on sea-breeze timing, afternoon humidity levels near 50%, and any scattered cloud development that could cap peak temperatures versus allowing fuller insolation. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet late-summer patterns often produce 2–4°F variability depending on steering flow and moisture. Traders weigh these forecast nuances against official updates expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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