The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 14 août ?
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F ou moins <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 Vol.
$13,380 Vol.
14 août 2026
63°F ou moins
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Oui
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82°F ou plus
Non
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F ou moins <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 Vol.
$13,380 Vol.
14 août 2026
63°F ou moins
$301 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$321 Vol.
Non
66-67°F
$704 Vol.
Non
68-69°F
$2,226 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$1,487 Vol.
Non
72-73°F
$1,916 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$2,733 Vol.
Oui
76-77°F
$1,498 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$738 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$758 Vol.
Non
82°F ou plus
$698 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$13,380Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,380Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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