National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 58°F for San Francisco on August 21, driven by a deepening marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that enhances evaporative cooling and limits daytime heat retention. This aligns closely with August climatology, where average daily lows hover around 57°F and rarely fall below 54°F or exceed 61°F. Recent observations show consistent mild conditions without significant synoptic shifts, supporting trader consensus around the 58-59°F bin while assigning lower implied probabilities to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and marine layer depth will refine resolution criteria as the evening progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 21 août ?
58-59°F 75%
56-57°F 34%
54-55°F 33%
52-53°F 31%
$4,074 Vol.
$4,074 Vol.
21 août 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
82%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 75%
56-57°F 34%
54-55°F 33%
52-53°F 31%
$4,074 Vol.
$4,074 Vol.
21 août 2026
49°F or below
$245 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$231 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$163 Vol.
31%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
33%
56-57°F
$2 Vol.
34%
58-59°F
$40 Vol.
82%
60-61°F
$691 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$264 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$802 Vol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 58°F for San Francisco on August 21, driven by a deepening marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that enhances evaporative cooling and limits daytime heat retention. This aligns closely with August climatology, where average daily lows hover around 57°F and rarely fall below 54°F or exceed 61°F. Recent observations show consistent mild conditions without significant synoptic shifts, supporting trader consensus around the 58-59°F bin while assigning lower implied probabilities to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and marine layer depth will refine resolution criteria as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$4,074Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 58°F for San Francisco on August 21, driven by a deepening marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that enhances evaporative cooling and limits daytime heat retention. This aligns closely with August climatology, where average daily lows hover around 57°F and rarely fall below 54°F or exceed 61°F. Recent observations show consistent mild conditions without significant synoptic shifts, supporting trader consensus around the 58-59°F bin while assigning lower implied probabilities to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and marine layer depth will refine resolution criteria as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,074Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 58°F for San Francisco on August 21, driven by a deepening marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that enhances evaporative cooling and limits daytime heat retention. This aligns closely with August climatology, where average daily lows hover around 57°F and rarely fall below 54°F or exceed 61°F. Recent observations show consistent mild conditions without significant synoptic shifts, supporting trader consensus around the 58-59°F bin while assigning lower implied probabilities to cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and marine layer depth will refine resolution criteria as the evening progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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