Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 15 septembre ?
23°C 96%
19°C ou moins 20%
21°C 10%
22°C 2%
$2,548 Vol.
$2,548 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
23°C 96%
19°C ou moins 20%
21°C 10%
22°C 2%
$2,548 Vol.
$2,548 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$101 Vol.
Non
20°C
$108 Vol.
Non
21°C
$195 Vol.
Non
22°C
$178 Vol.
Non
23°C
$121 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$1,405 Vol.
Non
25°C
$252 Vol.
Non
26°C
$43 Vol.
Non
27°C
$86 Vol.
Non
28°C
$26 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$32 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,548Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,548Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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