Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 20–22 °C for Tokyo on September 6, driven by a persistent frontal system delivering widespread rain, elevated cloud cover, and northerly flow that suppresses daytime heating and promotes radiative cooling overnight. Current forecasts cluster lows around 19.9–21 °C amid 50–100 mm of rainfall and winds of 15–30 km/h, consistent with early-September climatology yet cooler than preceding days. Traders appear to weigh these outputs heavily, with 22 °C commanding the highest implied probability while lower outcomes reflect residual model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling if rain persists into the early morning hours. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 6 septembre ?
22°C 40%
21°C 28%
23°C 28%
19°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
2%
18°C
15%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
28%
22°C
40%
23°C
28%
24°C
15%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C ou plus
2%
22°C 40%
21°C 28%
23°C 28%
19°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
17%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 20–22 °C for Tokyo on September 6, driven by a persistent frontal system delivering widespread rain, elevated cloud cover, and northerly flow that suppresses daytime heating and promotes radiative cooling overnight. Current forecasts cluster lows around 19.9–21 °C amid 50–100 mm of rainfall and winds of 15–30 km/h, consistent with early-September climatology yet cooler than preceding days. Traders appear to weigh these outputs heavily, with 22 °C commanding the highest implied probability while lower outcomes reflect residual model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling if rain persists into the early morning hours. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 20–22 °C for Tokyo on September 6, driven by a persistent frontal system delivering widespread rain, elevated cloud cover, and northerly flow that suppresses daytime heating and promotes radiative cooling overnight. Current forecasts cluster lows around 19.9–21 °C amid 50–100 mm of rainfall and winds of 15–30 km/h, consistent with early-September climatology yet cooler than preceding days. Traders appear to weigh these outputs heavily, with 22 °C commanding the highest implied probability while lower outcomes reflect residual model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling if rain persists into the early morning hours. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 20–22 °C for Tokyo on September 6, driven by a persistent frontal system delivering widespread rain, elevated cloud cover, and northerly flow that suppresses daytime heating and promotes radiative cooling overnight. Current forecasts cluster lows around 19.9–21 °C amid 50–100 mm of rainfall and winds of 15–30 km/h, consistent with early-September climatology yet cooler than preceding days. Traders appear to weigh these outputs heavily, with 22 °C commanding the highest implied probability while lower outcomes reflect residual model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling if rain persists into the early morning hours. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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