Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 21 août ?
24°C 59%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
22°C ou moins
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
59%
25°C
32%
26°C
63%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$177 Vol.
1%
23°C
$144 Vol.
18%
24°C
$144 Vol.
59%
25°C
$75 Vol.
32%
26°C
$163 Vol.
63%
27°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,372Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,372Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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